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Red47
1995.1
34829.3
207322.3
Blue44
255119.8
713012.7
10729.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354202060804744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.31.0
19.720.7
Auto8.9
Teleop11.8
End1.6
red by 2.5
19.80.3
17.918.2
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End2.1
Second
3482
#24
9.31.6
6.88.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.2
blue by 3.4
7130
#22
12.70.3
11.111.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End1.7
Third
199
#31
5.11.5
6.07.5
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.8
blue by 4.8
1072
#36
9.90.5
8.59.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed