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Red37
766716.5
46436.1
413510.8
Blue70
804823.4
527416.4
76866.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29470204060803770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7667
#20
16.50.7
13.914.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.8
End0.8
blue by 6.9
23.42.0
22.224.1
Auto7.3
Teleop13.1
End3.0
Second
4135
#32
10.80.7
9.410.1
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End1.5
blue by 5.6
5274
#17
16.42.7
13.716.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End3.4
Third
4643
#34
6.10.7
5.46.1
Auto2.1
Teleop3.3
End0.7
red by 0.1
7686
#15
6.02.7
4.36.9
Auto2.1
Teleop3.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed