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Qual 612024 Sacramento Regional
Red79
25447.9
166212.7
325711.2
Blue72
661927.3
801510.7
541933.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69812040601001201401607972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#3
47.91.5
44.0→45.5
Auto18.5
Teleop23.1
End6.3
red by 14.2
5419
#4
33.70.7
33.7→33.0
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End6.0
Second
1662
#14
12.71.4
12.5→13.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End2.3
blue by 14.6
6619
#6
27.30.9
28.8→27.9
Auto11.1
Teleop15.1
End1.1
Third
3257
#16
11.21.4
7.1→8.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.0
red by 0.5
8015
#25
10.70.9
9.7→8.8
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsMissed