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Red48
325711.2
545825.3
388014.6
Blue75
60439.0
213515.6
1995.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48642040801004875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5458
#10
25.30.2
24.224.4
Auto8.3
Teleop14.9
End2.2
blue by 13.7
604
#1
39.00.9
36.637.5
Auto15.8
Teleop19.2
End4.0
Second
3880
#21
14.60.2
12.913.1
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End1.4
blue by 1.0
2135
#18
15.61.2
14.615.8
Auto6.5
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Third
3257
#16
11.20.2
8.58.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.0
red by 6.1
199
#31
5.11.1
4.96.0
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned