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Red60
207322.3
413510.8
661927.3
Blue71
167850.8
57283.4
55159.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64712040801001206071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.1
27.928.0
Auto11.1
Teleop15.1
End1.1
blue by 23.5
50.80.5
50.150.6
Auto18.8
Teleop24.8
End7.1
Second
22.30.1
20.620.7
Auto8.9
Teleop11.8
End1.6
red by 12.5
5515
#19
9.80.7
10.210.9
Auto3.6
Teleop4.2
End2.0
Third
4135
#32
10.80.1
10.110.2
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End1.5
red by 7.4
5728
#38
3.40.7
2.73.4
Auto2.9
Teleop-0.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed49%Ensemble oddsMissed