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Red61
254314.8
325523.0
312826.5
Blue84
162215.8
210220.4
945223.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69632030405080901006184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.4
25.625.2
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End1.2
red by 2.9
23.60.3
22.923.2
Auto9.6
Teleop13.1
End0.9
Second
23.00.4
22.121.7
Auto3.1
Teleop19.8
End0.1
red by 2.6
20.40.3
19.820.1
Auto7.5
Teleop11.5
End1.5
Third
14.80.4
13.813.4
Auto6.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
blue by 1.1
1622
#14
15.80.3
15.115.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End1.3