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Red93
254314.8
325523.0
312826.5
Blue54
162215.8
210220.4
945223.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6765204060801009354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.7
25.225.9
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End1.2
red by 2.9
23.60.2
23.223.1
Auto9.6
Teleop13.1
End0.9
Second
23.00.7
21.722.4
Auto3.1
Teleop19.8
End0.1
red by 2.6
20.40.1
20.119.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.5
End1.5
Third
14.80.7
13.414.2
Auto6.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
blue by 1.1
1622
#14
15.80.2
15.415.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End1.3