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Red66
162215.8
364719.1
441917.8
Blue44
254314.8
95737.0
312826.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions926502040801001201401606644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.11.3
31.930.7
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End0.9
blue by 7.4
26.52.0
31.829.8
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End1.2
Second
17.81.3
21.920.7
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End0.5
red by 3.0
14.82.0
18.216.2
Auto6.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
Third
1622
#14
15.81.3
26.124.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End1.3
red by 8.8
7.02.9
11.89.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsEarned