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Red65
265819.1
210220.4
374914.1
Blue42
547413.5
945223.6
55146.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions895802040801001201401606542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.41.1
29.428.3
Auto7.5
Teleop11.5
End1.5
blue by 3.2
23.61.1
28.827.7
Auto9.6
Teleop13.1
End0.9
Second
19.11.1
23.522.4
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.2
red by 5.6
5474
#13
13.51.4
20.118.7
Auto7.0
Teleop4.2
End2.3
Third
3749
#11
14.11.1
23.622.5
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End0.4
red by 7.7
5514
#10
6.41.4
7.15.7
Auto3.8
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed