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Red64
95737.0
547413.5
364719.1
Blue44
55146.4
312826.5
265819.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49550204060806444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.11.2
24.723.5
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End0.9
blue by 7.4
26.51.0
23.922.9
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End1.2
Second
5474
#13
13.51.2
15.414.2
Auto7.0
Teleop4.2
End2.3
blue by 5.6
19.11.0
20.419.4
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Third
7.01.2
4.83.6
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End0.8
red by 0.5
5514
#10
6.41.0
4.93.8
Auto3.8
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned40%Ensemble oddsEarned