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Red21
95737.0
162215.8
210220.4
Blue34
325523.0
55146.4
374914.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50530204060802134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.41.8
20.718.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.5
End1.5
blue by 2.6
23.01.2
23.822.6
Auto3.1
Teleop19.8
End0.1
Second
1622
#14
15.81.8
21.419.6
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End1.3
red by 1.7
3749
#11
14.11.2
19.818.5
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End0.4
Third
7.01.8
3.61.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End0.8
red by 0.5
5514
#10
6.41.2
3.82.6
Auto3.8
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed