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Red63
945223.6
325523.0
889111.6
Blue56
55146.4
254314.8
364719.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6635020801001206356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.2
21.721.8
Auto9.6
Teleop13.1
End0.9
red by 4.5
19.10.0
22.222.2
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End0.9
Second
23.00.2
21.621.7
Auto3.1
Teleop19.8
End0.1
red by 8.2
14.80.0
11.311.4
Auto6.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
Third
8891
#12
11.60.2
12.512.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End1.4
red by 5.2
5514
#10
6.40.0
2.02.1
Auto3.8
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned