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Red60
162215.8
325523.0
95737.0
Blue56
945223.6
265819.1
254314.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476002040801001206056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.3
21.721.5
Auto3.1
Teleop19.8
End0.1
blue by 0.6
23.60.1
21.821.7
Auto9.6
Teleop13.1
End0.9
Second
1622
#14
15.80.3
18.718.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End1.3
blue by 3.3
19.10.1
19.619.5
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Third
7.00.3
4.03.7
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End0.8
blue by 7.8
14.80.1
11.411.2
Auto6.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsEarned46%Ensemble oddsMissed