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Red72
210220.4
441917.8
55146.4
Blue58
312826.5
374914.1
547413.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4263020801001201401607258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.41.1
20.721.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.5
End1.5
blue by 6.1
26.50.2
21.822.0
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End1.2
Second
17.81.1
18.119.2
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End0.5
red by 3.7
3749
#11
14.10.2
19.419.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End0.4
Third
5514
#10
6.41.1
2.13.1
Auto3.8
Teleop2.1
End0.6
blue by 7.1
5474
#13
13.50.2
13.713.9
Auto7.0
Teleop4.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed