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Red53
374914.1
889111.6
210220.4
Blue69
312826.5
162215.8
945223.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587001001505369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.41.1
21.820.7
Auto7.5
Teleop11.5
End1.5
blue by 6.1
26.50.5
22.022.4
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End1.2
Second
3749
#11
14.11.1
19.718.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End0.4
blue by 9.5
23.60.5
21.722.2
Auto9.6
Teleop13.1
End0.9
Third
8891
#12
11.61.1
12.611.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End1.4
blue by 4.2
1622
#14
15.80.5
18.418.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsMissed