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Red50
547413.5
55146.4
441917.8
Blue42
254314.8
265819.1
95737.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40380102030506070805042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.9
19.220.1
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End0.5
blue by 1.3
19.10.5
19.520.0
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Second
5474
#13
13.50.9
13.914.8
Auto7.0
Teleop4.2
End2.3
blue by 1.3
14.80.5
11.211.7
Auto6.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
Third
5514
#10
6.40.9
3.14.1
Auto3.8
Teleop2.1
End0.6
blue by 0.5
7.00.5
3.74.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed55%Ensemble oddsMissed