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Red39
547413.5
254314.8
325523.0
Blue63
374914.1
162215.8
312826.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6186020401001201401603963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.01.6
25.624.0
Auto3.1
Teleop19.8
End0.1
blue by 3.5
26.50.8
28.227.4
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End1.2
Second
2543
#8Sur
14.81.6
15.013.4
Auto6.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
blue by 1.1
1622
#14Sur
15.80.8
24.523.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End1.3
Third
5474
#13Sur
13.51.8
17.415.6
Auto7.0
Teleop4.2
End2.3
blue by 0.6
3749
#11Sur
14.10.8
22.521.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed