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Red25
95737.0
364719.1
210220.4
Blue61
441917.8
889111.6
945223.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72700204060801001201402561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.42.7
27.024.3
Auto7.5
Teleop11.5
End1.5
blue by 3.2
23.60.6
27.727.1
Auto9.6
Teleop13.1
End0.9
Second
19.12.7
29.026.3
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End0.9
red by 1.3
17.80.6
19.619.0
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End0.5
Third
7.03.3
9.26.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End0.8
blue by 4.6
8891
#12
11.60.6
16.315.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed