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Red35
55146.4
374914.1
889111.6
Blue90
441917.8
265819.1
325523.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437302060801001201403590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3749
#11
14.10.7
21.721.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End0.4
blue by 8.9
23.01.0
24.025.0
Auto3.1
Teleop19.8
End0.1
Second
8891
#12
11.60.7
15.615.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End1.4
blue by 7.5
19.11.0
19.720.8
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Third
5514
#10
6.40.7
5.54.9
Auto3.8
Teleop2.1
End0.6
blue by 11.4
17.81.0
19.020.0
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned