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Red68
665721.8
135120.6
699813.3
Blue75
414119.4
58134.8
76611.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46642040801001206875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6657
#22
21.82.1
11.313.4
Auto10.3
Teleop8.4
End3.1
blue by 13.1
581
#4
34.81.3
34.335.6
Auto12.6
Teleop17.3
End4.8
Second
1351
#25
20.61.3
16.718.0
Auto5.8
Teleop13.2
End1.6
red by 1.2
4141
#19
19.42.1
11.313.5
Auto6.0
Teleop13.5
End-0.1
Third
6998
#26
13.32.1
16.118.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End0.4
red by 2.1
766
#27
11.32.1
10.212.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed