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Red109
132343.6
397023.5
359818.4
Blue53
694730.4
60599.1
666222.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725530405060809010011010953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.64.9
26.431.3
Auto16.4
Teleop21.5
End5.7
red by 13.3
30.40.1
24.724.7
Auto13.8
Teleop14.9
End1.6
Second
23.53.6
20.123.7
Auto7.6
Teleop14.0
End1.9
red by 1.3
6662
#14
22.20.1
17.317.4
Auto10.5
Teleop10.7
End0.9
Third
18.42.9
16.519.4
Auto8.3
Teleop8.0
End2.1
red by 9.3
6059
#35
9.10.1
9.89.9
Auto5.1
Teleop2.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed