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Red38
68043.8
840420.1
884014.5
Blue75
517110.9
876816.1
715723.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42542060801003875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8404
#20
20.10.1
16.916.8
Auto7.8
Teleop11.7
End0.6
blue by 3.7
23.80.9
21.021.9
Auto7.3
Teleop13.8
End2.7
Second
8840
#23
14.50.1
12.212.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End0.2
blue by 1.5
8768
#10
16.10.8
15.416.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End2.9
Third
6804
#39
3.80.1
10.210.0
Auto3.5
Teleop-1.0
End1.3
blue by 7.1
5171
#31
10.91.4
11.212.6
Auto4.9
Teleop4.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed