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Red48
128012.1
350127.7
75898.0
Blue76
970613.2
167125.0
248918.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4356020801004876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3501
#12
27.70.5
19.820.3
Auto11.7
Teleop15.1
End1.0
red by 2.7
1671
#15
25.01.5
17.819.3
Auto5.0
Teleop16.8
End3.1
Second
1280
#33
12.10.9
12.012.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End1.3
blue by 6.3
2489
#16
18.41.5
19.020.4
Auto8.5
Teleop10.3
End-0.4
Third
7589
#38
8.00.9
8.59.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End0.5
blue by 5.2
9706
#36
13.22.5
11.914.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed