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Red77
58134.8
84131.3
694730.4
Blue32
840420.1
76611.3
128012.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1013302060801201401607732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#4
34.80.5
33.533.0
Auto12.6
Teleop17.3
End4.8
red by 14.7
8404
#20
20.10.4
16.616.2
Auto7.8
Teleop11.7
End0.6
Second
841
#3
31.30.4
25.425.0
Auto9.1
Teleop19.5
End2.7
red by 19.2
1280
#33
12.10.7
9.48.7
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End1.3
Third
30.40.4
24.524.1
Auto13.8
Teleop14.9
End1.6
red by 19.1
766
#27
11.30.7
12.311.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
56%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed