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Red51
167125.0
135120.6
75898.0
Blue83
132343.6
351219.8
236711.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4748404550556065755183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#15
25.00.4
17.017.4
Auto5.0
Teleop16.8
End3.1
blue by 18.7
43.64.4
23.327.7
Auto16.4
Teleop21.5
End5.7
Second
1351
#25
20.60.3
16.316.7
Auto5.8
Teleop13.2
End1.6
red by 0.8
3512
#18
19.83.5
12.716.2
Auto7.8
Teleop7.5
End4.4
Third
7589
#38
8.00.5
9.19.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End0.5
blue by 3.1
2367
#34
11.13.2
7.410.6
Auto5.8
Teleop4.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned