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Red27
414119.4
665721.8
517110.9
Blue55
84027.0
876816.1
630515.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384602060801001202755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6657
#22
21.81.1
11.510.4
Auto10.3
Teleop8.4
End3.1
blue by 5.2
840
#5
27.00.8
18.519.3
Auto9.5
Teleop15.5
End1.9
Second
4141
#19
19.41.1
10.18.9
Auto6.0
Teleop13.5
End-0.1
red by 3.3
8768
#10
16.10.8
12.112.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End2.9
Third
5171
#31
10.91.1
13.712.6
Auto4.9
Teleop4.8
End1.3
blue by 4.3
6305
#29
15.31.0
10.111.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed