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Red26
76611.3
630515.3
940011.9
Blue62
963410.4
132343.6
60599.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4058020801001202662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6305
#29
15.31.4
12.811.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.6
blue by 28.4
43.60.2
31.331.5
Auto16.4
Teleop21.5
End5.7
Second
9400
#32
11.91.4
13.011.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.8
End0.5
red by 1.5
9634
#28
10.40.2
9.09.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End0.3
Third
766
#27
11.31.4
12.411.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End1.2
red by 2.2
6059
#35
9.10.2
9.910.1
Auto5.1
Teleop2.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned