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Red59
699813.3
666222.2
715723.8
Blue90
84027.0
694730.4
432210.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646355606570758085905990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.0
21.921.9
Auto7.3
Teleop13.8
End2.7
blue by 6.6
30.41.7
24.726.5
Auto13.8
Teleop14.9
End1.6
Second
6662
#14
22.20.0
17.417.3
Auto10.5
Teleop10.7
End0.9
blue by 4.8
840
#5
27.01.7
21.823.6
Auto9.5
Teleop15.5
End1.9
Third
6998
#26
13.30.0
18.218.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End0.4
red by 3.4
4322
#24
10.01.7
10.612.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed