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Red67
840420.1
392519.3
666222.2
Blue47
630515.3
351219.8
60599.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534102060801006747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6662
#14
22.21.3
17.318.7
Auto10.5
Teleop10.7
End0.9
red by 2.4
3512
#18
19.80.5
17.417.9
Auto7.8
Teleop7.5
End4.4
Second
8404
#20
20.11.3
16.818.1
Auto7.8
Teleop11.7
End0.6
red by 4.8
6305
#29
15.30.9
11.512.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Third
3925
#13
19.31.3
12.814.1
Auto7.8
Teleop9.4
End2.1
red by 10.2
6059
#35
9.10.9
10.111.0
Auto5.1
Teleop2.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed