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Red36
876816.1
699813.3
248918.4
Blue116
581730.9
84131.3
359818.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5783010015036116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2489
#16
18.41.3
20.419.2
Auto8.5
Teleop10.3
End-0.4
blue by 12.9
841
#3
31.30.9
28.429.3
Auto9.1
Teleop19.5
End2.7
Second
8768
#10
16.11.3
16.215.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End2.9
blue by 14.8
5817
#11
30.90.9
24.525.4
Auto9.1
Teleop18.7
End3.1
Third
6998
#26
13.32.1
18.116.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End0.4
blue by 5.1
18.40.9
19.120.0
Auto8.3
Teleop8.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsMissed74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed