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Red28
914312.3
68043.8
517110.9
Blue83
694730.4
397023.5
963410.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32710204060801001201402883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9143
#21
12.30.8
10.69.8
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.8
blue by 18.1
30.41.5
26.528.0
Auto13.8
Teleop14.9
End1.6
Second
5171
#31
10.91.4
13.512.1
Auto4.9
Teleop4.8
End1.3
blue by 12.6
23.51.5
24.225.8
Auto7.6
Teleop14.0
End1.9
Third
6804
#39
3.81.4
9.58.1
Auto3.5
Teleop-1.0
End1.3
blue by 6.6
9634
#28
10.42.6
9.211.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed