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Red61
715723.8
432210.0
236711.1
Blue22
135120.6
76611.3
970613.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52480204060801001201406122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.8
21.921.0
Auto7.3
Teleop13.8
End2.7
red by 3.2
1351
#25
20.61.5
18.517.0
Auto5.8
Teleop13.2
End1.6
Second
2367
#34
11.10.8
12.411.6
Auto5.8
Teleop4.1
End1.2
blue by 2.1
9706
#36
13.22.4
14.412.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End0.9
Third
4322
#24
10.00.8
12.311.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End0.7
blue by 1.3
766
#27
11.32.4
11.08.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed