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Red17
699813.3
963410.4
432210.0
Blue85
665721.8
349111.0
132343.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4179020601001201401785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6998
#26
13.32.7
13.610.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End0.4
blue by 30.3
43.62.0
36.638.5
Auto16.4
Teleop21.5
End5.7
Second
9634
#28
10.42.7
15.512.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End0.3
blue by 11.4
6657
#22
21.82.0
19.121.1
Auto10.3
Teleop8.4
End3.1
Third
4322
#24
10.01.6
12.610.9
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End0.7
blue by 1.1
3491
#30
11.02.0
11.613.5
Auto3.4
Teleop7.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsEarned