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Red83
630515.3
84131.3
248918.4
Blue82
97225.0
694730.4
350127.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678640601001201408382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#3
31.30.7
30.330.9
Auto9.1
Teleop19.5
End2.7
red by 1.0
30.40.4
28.228.6
Auto13.8
Teleop14.9
End1.6
Second
2489
#16
18.40.7
19.119.8
Auto8.5
Teleop10.3
End-0.4
blue by 9.3
3501
#12
27.70.4
25.225.6
Auto11.7
Teleop15.1
End1.0
Third
6305
#29
15.31.1
13.714.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.6
blue by 9.7
972
#17
25.00.4
22.022.5
Auto8.8
Teleop14.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsMissed