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Red59
167125.0
963410.4
414119.4
Blue96
581730.9
715723.8
840420.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions537902040601001201405996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#15
25.00.2
24.424.6
Auto5.0
Teleop16.8
End3.1
blue by 5.9
5817
#11
30.91.2
28.529.7
Auto9.1
Teleop18.7
End3.1
Second
4141
#19
19.40.3
14.715.0
Auto6.0
Teleop13.5
End-0.1
blue by 4.4
23.81.2
22.423.5
Auto7.3
Teleop13.8
End2.7
Third
9634
#28
10.40.3
11.812.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End0.3
blue by 9.7
8404
#20
20.11.2
17.618.8
Auto7.8
Teleop11.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned