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Red80
517110.9
132343.6
84131.3
Blue57
970613.2
58134.8
397023.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95812040601201401608057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.61.3
41.440.1
Auto16.4
Teleop21.5
End5.7
red by 8.8
581
#4
34.81.2
37.236.1
Auto12.6
Teleop17.3
End4.8
Second
841
#3
31.30.9
31.430.5
Auto9.1
Teleop19.5
End2.7
red by 7.8
23.51.2
25.424.2
Auto7.6
Teleop14.0
End1.9
Third
5171
#31
10.91.3
11.09.7
Auto4.9
Teleop4.8
End1.3
blue by 2.3
9706
#36
13.21.7
12.110.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed