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Red37
236711.1
135120.6
884014.5
Blue40
392519.3
630515.3
349111.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4651204060801003740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1351
#25
20.60.3
19.319.0
Auto5.8
Teleop13.2
End1.6
red by 1.3
3925
#13
19.30.4
17.216.8
Auto7.8
Teleop9.4
End2.1
Second
8840
#23
14.50.3
11.711.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End0.2
blue by 0.7
6305
#29
15.30.6
15.815.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Third
2367
#34
11.10.3
11.110.8
Auto5.8
Teleop4.1
End1.2
red by 0.1
3491
#30
11.00.5
12.712.2
Auto3.4
Teleop7.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed