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Red65
351219.8
84027.0
128012.1
Blue70
699813.3
694730.4
76611.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625202040801001206570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
840
#5
27.00.6
24.625.1
Auto9.5
Teleop15.5
End1.9
blue by 3.4
30.41.4
28.329.7
Auto13.8
Teleop14.9
End1.6
Second
3512
#18
19.80.6
18.318.8
Auto7.8
Teleop7.5
End4.4
red by 6.5
6998
#26
13.31.9
11.213.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End0.4
Third
1280
#33
12.10.7
11.712.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End1.3
red by 0.9
766
#27
11.31.9
8.810.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed