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Red35
60599.1
840420.1
67115.6
Blue52
68043.8
970613.2
665721.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404020253035455055603552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8404
#20
20.10.9
18.817.9
Auto7.8
Teleop11.7
End0.6
blue by 1.7
6657
#22
21.80.2
20.520.6
Auto10.3
Teleop8.4
End3.1
Second
6059
#35
9.11.1
11.310.1
Auto5.1
Teleop2.3
End1.7
blue by 4.1
9706
#36
13.20.2
10.410.6
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End0.9
Third
6711
#37
5.61.1
7.76.6
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End-0.2
red by 1.9
6804
#39
3.80.2
4.24.4
Auto3.5
Teleop-1.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed