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Red57
397023.5
630515.3
167125.0
Blue58
876816.1
666222.2
236711.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions744802040601001205758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#15
25.00.5
24.624.2
Auto5.0
Teleop16.8
End3.1
red by 2.8
6662
#14
22.20.7
22.423.2
Auto10.5
Teleop10.7
End0.9
Second
23.50.5
24.223.7
Auto7.6
Teleop14.0
End1.9
red by 7.4
8768
#10
16.10.7
13.714.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End2.9
Third
6305
#29
15.30.6
15.314.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.6
red by 4.2
2367
#34
11.10.7
10.811.5
Auto5.8
Teleop4.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed