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Red63
135120.6
128012.1
581730.9
Blue79
884014.5
350127.7
517110.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70480204060801001206379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#11
30.90.2
28.829.0
Auto9.1
Teleop18.7
End3.1
red by 3.2
3501
#12
27.71.6
25.927.5
Auto11.7
Teleop15.1
End1.0
Second
1351
#25
20.60.2
19.019.2
Auto5.8
Teleop13.2
End1.6
red by 6.0
8840
#23
14.51.6
11.412.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End0.2
Third
1280
#33
12.10.2
12.512.7
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End1.3
red by 1.2
5171
#31
10.91.9
8.410.3
Auto4.9
Teleop4.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned