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Red63
84131.3
963410.4
715723.8
Blue64
359818.4
84027.0
392519.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7565020401001201401606364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#3
31.30.7
31.230.4
Auto9.1
Teleop19.5
End2.7
red by 4.4
840
#5
27.00.3
25.125.4
Auto9.5
Teleop15.5
End1.9
Second
23.80.7
25.124.3
Auto7.3
Teleop13.8
End2.7
red by 4.5
3925
#13
19.30.3
17.417.7
Auto7.8
Teleop9.4
End2.1
Third
9634
#28
10.40.9
10.79.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End0.3
blue by 8.0
18.40.3
17.317.6
Auto8.3
Teleop8.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsMissed