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Red44
970613.2
594045.4
349111.0
Blue66
694730.4
359818.4
167125.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626145505560654466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.41.0
38.837.9
Auto15.3
Teleop23.8
End6.3
red by 15.0
30.40.6
24.124.7
Auto13.8
Teleop14.9
End1.6
Second
9706
#36
13.25.3
13.27.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End0.9
blue by 11.8
1671
#15
25.00.6
17.418.0
Auto5.0
Teleop16.8
End3.1
Third
3491
#30
11.01.3
7.86.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.3
End0.3
blue by 7.4
18.40.6
14.114.6
Auto8.3
Teleop8.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed