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Red50
132343.6
75898.0
581730.9
Blue69
84131.3
84027.0
840420.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686750556065705069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.61.3
27.726.4
Auto16.4
Teleop21.5
End5.7
red by 12.3
841
#3
31.30.6
25.025.6
Auto9.1
Teleop19.5
End2.7
Second
5817
#11
30.91.0
24.023.0
Auto9.1
Teleop18.7
End3.1
red by 3.9
840
#5
27.00.6
19.319.9
Auto9.5
Teleop15.5
End1.9
Third
7589
#38
8.01.3
9.68.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End0.5
blue by 12.1
8404
#20
20.10.6
16.216.8
Auto7.8
Teleop11.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsMissed65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed