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Red52
167125.0
60599.1
665721.8
Blue72
248918.4
236711.1
58134.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59742040801001205272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#15
25.00.2
24.224.0
Auto5.0
Teleop16.8
End3.1
blue by 9.9
581
#4
34.80.5
35.035.5
Auto12.6
Teleop17.3
End4.8
Second
6657
#22
21.80.2
20.620.4
Auto10.3
Teleop8.4
End3.1
red by 3.4
2489
#16
18.40.5
18.518.9
Auto8.5
Teleop10.3
End-0.4
Third
6059
#35
9.10.2
10.19.9
Auto5.1
Teleop2.3
End1.7
blue by 2.0
2367
#34
11.10.5
11.512.0
Auto5.8
Teleop4.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed