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Red64
914312.3
970613.2
84027.0
Blue31
630515.3
699813.3
128012.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5445020801001201406431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
840
#5
27.00.9
25.426.4
Auto9.5
Teleop15.5
End1.9
red by 11.7
6305
#29
15.30.9
14.713.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Second
9706
#36
13.21.2
10.611.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End0.9
blue by 0.2
6998
#26
13.30.8
14.113.3
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End0.4
Third
9143
#21
12.30.9
11.812.8
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.8
red by 0.1
1280
#33
12.10.8
12.711.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned57%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed