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Red53
884014.5
392519.3
876816.1
Blue35
75898.0
517110.9
963410.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions542602040801001205335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3925
#13
19.30.5
17.718.2
Auto7.8
Teleop9.4
End2.1
red by 8.4
5171
#31
10.90.6
10.310.9
Auto4.9
Teleop4.8
End1.3
Second
8768
#10
16.10.5
15.215.7
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End2.9
red by 5.6
9634
#28
10.40.6
9.810.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End0.3
Third
8840
#23
14.50.5
12.913.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End0.2
red by 6.5
7589
#38
8.00.6
7.17.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed