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Red43
236711.1
914312.3
694730.4
Blue97
132343.6
97225.0
840420.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions561002040801201401604397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.9
31.230.4
Auto13.8
Teleop14.9
End1.6
blue by 13.3
43.60.5
41.742.1
Auto16.4
Teleop21.5
End5.7
Second
9143
#21
12.30.9
12.811.9
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.8
blue by 12.7
972
#17
25.00.4
24.424.9
Auto8.8
Teleop14.6
End1.6
Third
2367
#34
11.10.9
12.011.1
Auto5.8
Teleop4.1
End1.2
blue by 9.0
8404
#20
20.10.4
19.519.9
Auto7.8
Teleop11.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsMissed