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Red74
970613.2
581730.9
630515.3
Blue86
594045.4
666222.2
58134.8
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5012401001507486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#11
30.91.3
29.030.3
Auto9.1
Teleop18.7
End3.1
blue by 14.5
45.41.5
45.443.9
Auto15.3
Teleop23.8
End6.3
Second
6305
#29
15.31.4
13.815.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.6
blue by 19.6
581
#4
34.81.5
35.534.0
Auto12.6
Teleop17.3
End4.8
Third
9706
#36
13.21.4
11.713.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End0.9
blue by 9.0
6662
#14
22.21.5
22.821.3
Auto10.5
Teleop10.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed64%Ensemble oddsEarned