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Red87
665721.8
581730.9
84027.0
Blue85
167125.0
392519.3
135120.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90674060801001201408785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#11
30.90.2
30.530.7
Auto9.1
Teleop18.7
End3.1
red by 5.9
1671
#15
25.00.5
24.525.0
Auto5.0
Teleop16.8
End3.1
Second
840
#5
27.00.2
26.626.8
Auto9.5
Teleop15.5
End1.9
red by 6.4
1351
#25
20.60.5
20.120.6
Auto5.8
Teleop13.2
End1.6
Third
6657
#22
21.80.2
21.421.6
Auto10.3
Teleop8.4
End3.1
red by 2.5
3925
#13
19.30.5
18.819.3
Auto7.8
Teleop9.4
End2.1